Thursday, October 27, 2011

Equities ignored amidst euro-focus

Such is the understandable focus on Europe right now that almost unnoticed this month has been the very powerful improvement in global equity markets. Just as well,

Chinese policy-makers are turning

Against the backdrop of slower growth in Europe and the rest of the world, and with the local economy clearly responding to the significant tightening in monetary policy,

Are the storm clouds clearing in the US as well?

Europe’s creditable crisis response has almost been matched by an encouraging report out of the US suggesting that the worst may be behind them, at least in the short term.

A Bank full of bears

Not one or two but three MPC members have offered a very downbeat assessment of UK economic prospects in recent days.

Daily Forex Brief London: Thursday 27th October 2011

  Getting there, but slowly
After an all-nighter in Brussels, European leaders have finally announced a package of measures which they hope will placate the concerns of investors and traders regarding the sovereign debt and banking crisis. The package has three major components ? the firepower of the EFSF has allegedly been raised to EUR 1.4trln, Greek debt-holders have apparently accepted a 50% haircut, and European banks are to be recapitalised. Also announced was a more significant role for the IMF (although exactly what that role will be is not yet clear), and the continued involvement of the ECB with respect to buying the bonds of troubled European sovereigns in the secondary market. These measures have literally just been announced in the last couple of hours and as a result, fuller analysis will follow over the course of the day. Suffice to say at this stage, European policy-makers appear to have done enough for now to encourage the belief that they are finally facing up to the true extent of their difficulties. In response, the EUR is up above 1.40, the dollar is weaker, metal prices are higher and Asian equities are up by more than 2%.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Europe likely to underwhelm once more. 27.10.2011

Given both the multitude and the complexities of the issues that Europe needs to address, expecting that all could be resolved by today was always an impossibility.

Monday, October 24, 2011

PRE US OPEN, DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, 24 OCTOBER 2011

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD INTRADAY: CAUTION.
Pivot: 1.381
Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.381 with targets @ 1.3955 & 1.402 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.381 look for further downside with 1.37 & 1.365 as targets.
Comment: The pair is pulling back on its support, the RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
GBP/USD INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS.
Pivot: 1.5850
Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.5850 with targets @ 1.6005 & 1.605 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.5850 look for further downside with 1.575 & 1.568 as targets.
Comment: The pair remains on the upside, the RSI is mixed to bullish.